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Financial Crisis How Did We Get Here



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span                            institutions were lending more    
class="cap">How did     and more money to questionable    
we get here…on the verge of     borrowers as a route to quick     
the biggest financial crisis          profits. They could "package"     
since the 1930's? So much has         these mortgages and sell them to  
happened in the last few weeks        someone else. The rating agencies 
that I felt it was important to       blessed them and they were sold,  
step back and try to get a handle     across the globe.

             
on what has transpired. We            

This makes me think of a       
experienced a real estate bubble      Warren Buffet quote, "Only when   
and as with most bubbles              the tide goes out do you discover 
throughout history, they result       who's been swimming naked." The   
from too much of a good thing.        tide in our case is home prices.  
Credit is that thing. At the          As home prices decline, these     
time, it all seemed so wonderful.     packages of mortgages depreciate  
More and more people were living      in value. Then the financial      
the American dream of home            institutions holding these risky  
ownership. Those already owning       packages have to devalue them on  
homes were pleased to see their       their books.

                  
value rise and happy to tap into      

Now the pendulum of easy       
the equity to purchase cars,          credit has swung too far back in  
vacations, and bathroom remodels.     the opposite direction. Every     
This story played out in so many      player in the markets has gotten  
countries.                            more conservative, in fact down   
But ingredients were coming           right stingy, with lending. We    
together in the financial markets     need qualified buyers to step up  
that make for a bad recipe. Too       and buy homes, thus supporting    
many people were getting loans        prices. But lenders have become   
that would likely never be            so strict that this is not        
repaid. The big financial             happening, and home prices        



continue to decline. Mortgage         the financial system. Just as the 
securities decline in value, the      markets breathed a temporary sigh 
strength of the financial             of relief, trouble was emerging   
institution weakens, so they lend     overseas.

                     
less, and home prices continue        

Fortunately, the Euro nations  
down in a self-perpetuating           and Great Britain unveiled a      
vortex.

                           bailout plan that was perceived   

This reluctance to lend is         to be more comprehensive than the 
what brought us to the current        US plan. Investors believed it    
crisis. Credit and lending are        could be even more effective      
the red blood cells of the            because it guaranteed bank        
financial circulatory system.         deposits and injected capital     
Think of them as carrying needed      directly into ailing banks.

   
oxygen and nutrients to sustain       

These actions will likely      
the body. What Fed Chairman           avoid the very real threat of a   
Bernanke and Treasury Secretary       depression, but is seems likely   
Paulson saw in mid September was      at this point we are entering an  
a credit contraction of               economic recession. Things will  
unprecedented proportions. The        get better, but it will take time 
recent take over of Fannie and        for the economy and financial     
Freddie and the rescue of AIG,        markets to heal.

              
were supposed to restore some                                           
sense of order and keep credit        

10px;" valign="top"                    google_color_bg = "F5F7FB"; 
align="center">                                                     
                                       google_color_link =         
type="text/javascript">              
t-728x90.php";                                                          
                                       google_ad_width = 728;          type="text/javascript"            
                                                                        
google_ad_height = 90;                                      
                                      src="http://pagead2.googlesyndica 
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google_ad_type =                                                  
"text_image";                         
                      
                                                                        
google_ad_channel               
About   
="8710800197";                        the Author
                                      id="authorbio"                    
google_color_border =           class="membersnoticewhite">Jeffre 
"F5F7FB";                             y Stoffer CFA, CFP, Principal of  
                                      Stoffer Wealth Advisors. We are   



an investment management and          isors.com"                        
financial planning firm serving       title="http://www.stofferwealthad 
individuals, families, and            visors.com" target="_blank">business owners in the San            color="#001000"                   
Francisco Bay Area. Visit our         size="-2">http://www.stofferwealt 
website at
href="http://www.stofferwealthadv     ieldset>
               




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