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Trading Psychology Consecutive Loses And The Trading Psychology Spiral



Y


ou go long and the market       the range immediately breaks out  
immediately goes down - you     to the downside. Not only does    
go short and the market         this give you consecutive loser   
immediately goes up. That's 2         4, but the loss occurred from     
consecutive losses, and you are       trading against one of your       
getting a little 'anxious' so you     ‘best’ method trade setups, and   
don't take the 'next' trade. Of       becomes a trade which is giving   
course, this trade is a winner.       enough profit to pay for the      
Now to make the situation worse,      previous 3 losers, and make you   
you then 'chase' the move, and as     net ahead.                        
soon as you enter the trade it                                          
immediately reverses, thus giving     Now what are you supposed to do – 
you another loss – this is now 3      QUIT? AND to be sure that there   
in a row. Ok one more ‘try’ -         is no more temptation – your      
this can't happen on every trade      throw your computer out the       
can it?                               window, and dive out right behind 
                                      it. You are in a trading          
This time though, you will be         psychology spiral.                
real clever. You have noticed                                           
that the market is in a range,        WHAT is a Trading Psychology      
and it's the bounce from the          Spiral?                           
low/retrace from the high that is                                       
causing all the problems. So this     I think of a trading psychology   
time, the next trade you take         spiral as the transition from     
will be a range extreme fade AND      trading losses that you have      
the hell with your trading            accepted both as a part of your   
method. The market is at the          trading method, and as something  
range low, and per your new ‘on       that is inevitable in trading,    
the fly’ trading plan, you go         into a surge of emotions that     
long. Instead of bouncing again,      continually builds to a point     



where you can no longer accept        their emotions spiral. A series   
anything. As this eventually          of consecutive losing trades,     
‘spirals’ out of control –            especially those caused by        
trading method becomes completely     deviating from the trading plan,  
ignored, and is then replaced by      are a root cause for this         
emotional responses and decisions     happening.                        
for everything that is done. Even                                       
if quitting was really the only       This also isn’t about something   
viable thing to do at the time,       that happens only to              
the trading psychology spiral can     inexperienced and unprofitable    
cause an emotional response where     traders. There are going to be    
this isn’t even considered, until     those times where nothing a       
the situation becomes so              trader does will work, and that   
desperate, that the trader can’t      result is going to be a series of 
take it any longer AND does have      consecutive losers. So the        
to quit.                              situation is the same, it’s the   
                                      reaction that may be different.   
This isn’t a discussion about         For instance, traderA may go into 
emotions and trading, and the         a panic causing them to spiral    
various fears and issues that         out of control, losing all        
keeps a trader from trading to        self-confidence and self-trust,   
begin with; as we know, emotions      and ultimately more money than    
are an inherent part of trading –     was intended. On the other hand,  
you learn to control them OR you      traderB may go into a period of   
can’t trade. This is a discussion     revenge trading, coupled with an  
about emotions that are typically     increase of their trading size,   
controlled well enough so that        as they are ‘sure’ that each next 
you ‘can’ trade, but then             trade is going to bring them back 
something happens where the           to even. Also, a spiral out of    
trader loses that control, and        control, and the losses continue  



– AND also a loss of more money       Do this, and get your trading     
than was intended. WHAT does          back on track, and you will have  
traderC do?                           made gains the value of which you 
                                      can't imagine, as you will know   
Controlling The Trading               that you may have losing periods  
Psychology Spiral                     BUT you can trust yourself to     
                                      remain in control, and not        
Consider: each time a tpsych          magnify the damage.               
spiral occurs AND you go out of                                         
control - the quicker the next        In light of this, take what you   
spiral is going to occur, and the     believe to be your key trading    
faster you will go out of control     issues, write them on an index    
when it happens. This is going to     card, and stick them on to your   
continue, until trading becomes       monitor. The objective is         
too painful, and you will not be      realization and awareness, thus   
willing to trade any longer.          making these issues available to  
                                      your conscious as a reminder,     
Consider: it is better to work        instead of only available to your 
through the emotions instead of       subconscious as a problem. As you 
quitting. Quitting is too easy,       make your notes BE SURE that you  
and this provides no solution or      are writing short non-judgmental  
aid in preventing this from           notes - DON'T let the 'solution'  
coming back and intensifying each     make the 'problem' worse.         
time you have a rough period. As                                        
well, you have lost the ability       For instance, consider the        
to 'count' on yourself when you       combination of a build of         
need to do so the most. To            emotions coming from consecutive  
control a tpsych spiral, before       losses which are also occurring   
you go out of control, is a           during congestion - write notes   
tremendous win in and of itself.      similar to these on your card:    



                                      Remain Neutral                    
- a build in emotions may come                                          
from a series of quick                Remain neutral - another note for 
consecutive losses                    your index cards.                 
- quick consecutive losses often                                        
come from trading inside of           Another approach may be to write  
congestion                            notes that include the things you 
- are your losses 'base'              can remember yourself doing or    
congestion method trades OR are       feeling as you transition from    
you overtrading                       acceptable emotion to tpsych      
- there is nothing wrong with         spiraling, for instance:          
'base' method trade loses             shortness of breath - sweating -  
- your trading results are fine       squirming in your chair - unable  
when you 'base' method trade          to sit down. AND as the spiraling 
                                      becomes more intense: cussing -   
Now consider the same situation       screaming - throwing things -     
BUT different notes:                  breaking things. UNTIL the        
                                      spiraling is out of control:      
- don't be a stupid idiot and         panic - desperation. Clearly,     
overtrade congestion like you         there is a whole list of physical 
always do                             responses to uncomfortable        
- you are going to lose your ass      emotional situations; realizing   
and end up with another losing        them as they occur may be a step  
day like usual                        in controlling them before they   
- you do this same crap every day     ‘take-over’ and lead to           
and the same thing happens            spiraling.                        
- you have no reason to even                                            
trade if this is all that you are     Be Aware                          
going to do                                                             
                                      I want to know the potential for  



the spiraling situation. It is        tpsych.                           
VERY important to acknowledge                                           
that you have emotions, and not       WHAT does traderC do?             
try to ignore them or hide from                                         
them as a solution to the problem     TraderC is the trader who remains 
OR because you perceive them to       the most neutral in winning and   
be a sign of weakness. This           losing - the most neutral in all  
actually will just make the           situations. It's this neutrality  
situation worse. You are human -      that becomes essential in keeping 
humans have emotions - emotions       the emotions from becoming a      
become more intense in more           trading psychology spiral, as the 
difficult situations. So, I don't     trader can 'accurately' evaluate  
need to know how I am going to        their losses in terms of method.  
have responded as I go out of         This trader will only trade their 
control. I do need to know, and       most 'base' method setups after   
have something to remember,           any difficult period AND IF these 
and/or think about, that can keep     lose, so be it, that possibility  
this from happening - that can        has already been accepted. With   
keep me as neutral as possible,       this attitude they are able to    
in what would be the more             continually take their next       
difficult trading periods –           method trade; they know it        
something that will 'push' me         probably will be a winning trade. 
back to tmethod AND 'away' from       

                              






About the Author:

Barry Lutz has been trading, as well as teaching others to trade since 1997, through his firm Tactical Trading, LLC., http://www.tactrade.com. He also writes a daily trading teaching lesson called the Trade Journal, which includes resources and discussions on trading psychology and trading method at The Tactical Trader, http://www.tactrading.com.

Source: www.isnare.com


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    Trading Psychology Consecutive Loses And The Trading Psychology Spiral