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Which Group Of Shares Or Currencies Should You Trade In



H


ere are questions which         trucks, freight cars, ships,      
should be asked about any       large buildings? These are        
stock group you are             expensive items with a long life, 
studying. Some of the answers         and are usually financed with     
will be contradictory; the            long-term, fixed obligations. In  
significance of all of them will      a pinch, they are among the first 
be relative. But each will            things customers are prepared to  
contribute a plus or minus factor     do without.

                   
to your thinking about the            

2)Is the industry              
industry you may wish to invest       depression-resistant? Retail      
in.                                   stores, tobacco, metal            
1) Does the industry deal in          containers, and, again, food      
necessities or "postponables"?        products have a reputation for    
Does it produce things people         stability, not only in terms of   
have to have in good times or         continuing consumer demand, but   
bad—food, drugs, power, or            in terms of production costs and  
heating supplies? Or can people       price structures which make them  
put off buying its products to        attractive as so-called defensive 
another year? There is one            issues.

                       
investor who holds meat-packing       

3)Is it an extractive          
and distillery stocks, not            industry? Does it deal in natural 
notably high-grade issues,            raw materials, such as oil,       
because of his conviction that,       lumber, asbestos, metals? Stocks  
come hell or high water, beef and     of these companies are considered 
bourbon will be staples of the        good hedges against inflation     
American diet.

                    because they represent a primary  

The same question on a             material, an asset already owned. 
different level: Is the industry      The acquisition cost of oil       
involved in durable or capital        underground, for instance, may    
goods, such as locomotives,           already have been rationalized;   



henceforth all that can be            perfectly evident from five       
inflated are the extraction and       minutes' inspection of your       
distribution costs.

               supermarket's shelves. Plastic    

4)How keen is competition          squeeze-bottles of one sort or    
within the industry? Usually          another have cut into glass as    
competition is keenest where the      far as the packaging of cosmetics 
differences are least.                is concerned.

                 
Automobiles, soaps and                

On the other hand, the         
detergents, drugs, tobaccos,          appearance of liquid soaps has    
gasolines and motor oils—within       given glass an opportunity in a   
these categories the companies        field that was exclusively the    
all offer the consumer pretty         paper-carton supplier's. The      
much the same thing. The local        paper-carton manufacturer,        
power and light company, the          meanwhile, has benefited from     
telephone company, and the            frozen foods at the expense of    
natural gas companies (except for     the tin-can producer. But the     
the scramble to run pipelines         tin-can man has a new area in the 
here or there) are virtually          pressure containers now used to   
without competition.

              dispense shaving cream,           

Cross-competition between          toothpaste, hair lotions, and     
industries is also a factor. This     anything else that can be         
is not the struggle of Coke vs.       squirted or sprayed—and that      
Pepsi, or Tide vs. All, but           isn't already in a plastic        
whether new office buildings are      squeeze-bottle.

               
going to have a skin of brick and     

5) Are wages a big item in the 
mortar, aluminum sheets, or glass     industry? How large a percentage  
panels.

                           of total sales are they? This, of 

The container and packaging        course, can bear heavily on net   
people are a lovely example of        earnings and, consequently,       
round-robin competition, as is        dividends. In the chemical        



industry, the ratio of wages to       W. R. Grace and U. S. Industries, 
sales is quite small.

             and the export trade of the auto, 

In steel and railroading,          machinery, movie, and             
which have vast numbers of            electrical-equipment              
employees and huge payrolls, it       industries.

                   
is quite large.

                   

The investor will have to      

6) Do raw materials come from      decide, too, whether he considers 
domestic sources or from abroad?      foreign trade a positive or       
Are their prices traditionally        negative item. Overseas markets   
stable or volatile? This, of          may be uncertain or undependable, 
course, applies to the oil,           but they are also frontier areas  
rubber, and sugar companies, to       of tremendous potentiality for an 
some of the mining and metals         economy like that of the United   
companies, and to a few of the        States, which has lived so        
chemicals. This is, possibly, not     largely off its own people.

   
so important as it once was,          

With Forex trading economic    
considering that few industries       indicators will have to be        
are totally dependent on foreign      studied as well.                  
resources, and that political         Good Forex software can greatly   
upheavals or wars are so              help you with this task.

      
far-reaching these days that          

Forex software has become so   
almost everyone is affected to        good that it has artificial       
some degree, at home and              intelligence and can predict      
abroad.

                           future currency movements with    

The question should also be        some accuracy.

                
broadened to include foreign          

You still need to be aware of  
markets: What percentage of           the risks involved in any         
income derives from sales abroad?     financial investing and only      
This would affect air and             invest what you can afford to     
shipping lines, distributors like     lose.

                         



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    Which Group Of Shares Or Currencies Should You Trade In